22 November 2025

Bournemouth vs Newcastle Full Match Analysis

Bournemouth vs Newcastle Match Analysis and Prediction

Team analysis

AFC Bournemouth

  • Form & Season Context: Bournemouth has experienced a remarkable start to the season, winning three of their opening four Premier League matches since a 4-2 defeat to Liverpool in the opening weekend . Their most recent outing resulted in a well-deserved 2-1 victory against Brighton, with goals from Alex Scott and Antoine Semenyo securing the points . This strong form extends beyond the current season, as they have won four of their last five Premier League games dating back to the previous campaign .
  • Strengths:
    • Home Form: Bournemouth has been excellent at Vitality Stadium, winning both of their home league games this season and four of their last six Premier League home matches overall .
    • High-Press System: Under Iraola, Bournemouth employs a ferocious man-to-man pressing system and plays an incredibly high-tempo, vertical game designed to cause mistakes and turnovers high up the pitch .
    • Attacking ThreatAntoine Semenyo has emerged as the team’s talisman, contributing 3 goals and 2 assists in the first four Premier League appearances .
  • Weaknesses:
    • Defensive Vulnerabilities: Despite their strong start, Bournemouth has conceded 5 goals in 4 games (1.25 per match), indicating some defensive vulnerabilities .
    • Injury Concerns: The team is missing several key players including Enes Ünal (long-term absentee) and potentially Bafode Diakite, who remains not yet 100% fit despite returning to training .

Newcastle United

  • Form & Season Context: Newcastle has experienced a mixed start to the season, with just one win from their opening four Premier League fixtures . They come into this match on the back of a 2-1 Champions League defeat to Barcelona, where Anthony Gordon’s late goal proved only a consolation . Their Premier League form shows just one victory (1-0 against Wolves) alongside two draws and one defeat .
  • Strengths:
    • Away Resilience: Despite their struggles, Newcastle has shown resilience on the road, drawing both of their away fixtures this season against Leeds and Aston Villa .
    • Defensive Organization: When properly organized, Newcastle demonstrates tactical maturity and flexibility with well-coordinated pressing units and controlled build-up play .
    • European Experience: Their participation in the Champions League has exposed them to high-level competition, which could benefit them in challenging Premier League fixtures .
  • Weaknesses:
    • Goalscoring Struggles: Newcastle has managed only 3 goals in 4 Premier League games (0.75 per match), highlighting their attacking struggles .
    • Fatigue Factors: The midweek Champions League exertion against Barcelona could leave them physically depleted compared to a Bournemouth side who had a full week to prepare .
    • Injury Concerns: Defensive duo Kieran Trippier and Fabian Schär were both forced off against Barcelona, with the latter potentially suffering from concussion, while summer signings Jacob Ramsey and Yoane Wissa remain sidelined

Table: Recent Head-to-Head Results

DateCompetitionHome TeamScoreAway Team
17/05/25Premier LeagueNewcastle1-4Bournemouth
04/11/24Premier LeagueBournemouth1-1Newcastle
05/04/24Premier LeagueNewcastle1-1Bournemouth
07/12/23Premier LeagueBournemouth2-2Newcastle
25/05/23Premier LeagueNewcastle0-0Bournemouth

Prediction

  • Result: Draw (1–1)
  • Tip: Both teams to score (BTTS)