Tondela vs Estrela Amadora Match Analysis and Prediction
CD Tondela vs Estrela Amadora: Comprehensive Match Analysis and Prediction
Team analysis
Tondela
Form & Season Context: Tondela has experienced a difficult start to the season, managing just one draw in their opening five Liga Portugal matches alongside four defeats . Their most recent outing resulted in a 1-0 loss to Alverca, where they dominated possession (51%) and created 14 shots but failed to convert their chances .
Strengths:
Home Advantage: Despite poor results, Tondela has shown some resilience at home, scoring an average of 1 goal per home game compared to 0 away from home .
Chance Creation: They average 1.34 expected goals (xG), indicating they’re creating opportunities despite not converting them .
Weaknesses:
Defensive Frailty: Tondela has conceded 10 goals in 5 games (2.0 per match), with only one clean sheet all season .
Finishing Issues: They have scored just 2 goals in 5 games (0.4 per match), highlighting serious deficiencies in attack .
Psychological Fragility: Tondela have failed to win any of their last 6 matches dating back to the previous season, indicating confidence issues .
Estrela Amadora
Form & Season Context: Estrela Amadora has also struggled, remaining winless with three draws and two losses . Their most recent match was a 2-0 defeat to Vitória Guimarães, where they enjoyed 59% possession but managed only 1 shot on target from 10 attempts .
Strengths:
Defensive Organization: They have conceded just 6 goals in 5 games (1.2 per match), significantly better than Tondela’s defensive record .
Away Resilience: Estrela remains unbeaten away from home this season (2 draws), showing better form on the road than at home .
Weaknesses:
Attacking Inefficiency: They have scored only 3 goals in 5 games (0.6 per match), with a concerning inability to convert possession into goals .
Limited Creativity: Their xG of 1.11 per game indicates struggling attacking output
