Nigeria is favored to win the third-place playoff against Egypt.
| Aspect | Details |
|---|---|
| Fixture | Africa Cup of Nations 2025 – Third Place Playoff |
| Date & Time | Saturday, 17 January 2026, 16:00 GMT |
| Venue | Stade Mohamed V, Casablanca, Morocco |
| Competition Context | Both teams lost in the semi-finals and compete for the bronze medal |
| Recent Form (Last 5) | Egypt: W-L-W-W-D |
| Head-to-Head Record | Nigeria: 9 wins |
Tactical Analysis and Team Dynamics
This match presents a classic clash of styles: Nigeria’s potent attack versus Egypt’s organized defense.
- Nigeria’s Attacking Threat: The Super Eagles have been the most dynamic attacking side in the tournament, leading in goals scored (14). They average 4.7 big chances created per game and dominate possession (60.1%) with a high pass accuracy (87.6%). However, they can be vulnerable at the back, conceding 4 times in the group stage.
- Egypt’s Defensive Solidity: Egypt’s strength lies in their defensive organization. They conceded just one goal throughout the entire group stage. Their path to the semi-finals was built on tight games and low scores, often relying on moments of individual brilliance.
Key Players and Team News
The game features some of Africa’s biggest stars, but injuries and suspensions could play a role.
| Team | Players to Watch | Key Team News & Impact |
|---|---|---|
| Egypt | Mohamed Salah: Egypt’s main threat, with 4 goals and 11 big-chance assists. | Trezeguet is fit, but defender Mohamed Hamdi is doubtful. This could strain an otherwise solid backline. |
| Omar Marmoush: Crucial attacking partner for Salah. | After a poor semi-final, the attacking duo may see more service in this open game. | |
| Nigeria | Victor Osimhen: Scored 4 goals, but his fitness is a concern after hobbling in the semi-final. | Calvin Bassey (suspended) and potential Osimhen injury are big blows. |
| Ademola Lookman: Creative force with 4 assists and 14 big-chance assists. | Wilfred Ndidi returns from suspension, bolstering the midfield. |
Prediction
- Most Likely Outcome: Nigeria to win. Despite Nigeria’s potential defensive absences, their superior attacking form and control of games give them the edge. Predictions commonly suggest a 2-1 scoreline.
- Supporting Trends: Both teams have scored in 60% of their recent matches, and the match is expected to see over 2.5 total goals. Egypt’s Mohamed Salah is always a threat to score against any defense.
