Panathinaikos Vs Rangers Match Analysis and Prediction
(UEFA Champions League Second Qualifying Round, Second Leg – 30 July 2025)
Match Context
- Rangers lead 2-0 from the first leg at Ibrox .
- Panathinaikos must win by at least two goals to force extra time; Rangers need only avoid a heavy defeat to advance.
Team Analysis
Panathinaikos
- Winless in pre-season friendlies (0 goals in 5 matches) and lost 2-0 in the first leg. Key issues include poor conversion (28 shots, 0 goals in last 5 games) .
- Defender Georgios Vagiannidis suspended after a red card in the first leg .
- Likely a 4-3-3 focusing on midfield control. Expect high pressing early to exploit Rangers’ defensive vulnerabilities .
- Weakness: Low attacking efficiency (1.0 goals per match average) and disciplinary issues (24 fouls in last 5 games) .
Rangers
- Unbeaten in 8 matches (W3 D5), including the first-leg win. Scored in all last 5 games, with Findlay Curtis netting twice in two appearances .
- 4-2-3-1 formation prioritizing defensive solidity and counter-attacks. James Tavernier remains critical for set-pieces and assists .
- Strength: High pass accuracy (92% in first leg) and resilience in European away games (no losses in last 3 UCL trips) .
- Weakness: Vulnerable to quick transitions; conceded 2+ goals in 4 of last 6 away matches .
Tactical Battle
- Panathinaikos’ Strategy: Attack aggressively from kick-off, using wingers Palacios and Pellistri to exploit spaces behind Rangers’ full-backs. Must improve shot conversion .
- Rangers’ Strategy: Defend deep, absorb pressure, and counter via Curtis and Gassama. Focus on set-pieces (Tavernier created 6 chances in first leg) .
- Key Duel: Ioannidis (PAN) vs Souttar/King (RAN) – Panathinaikos’ top scorer must break Rangers’ center-back pairing .
Our Prediction of the Match
- Match Outcome: 1-1 Draw (Rangers advance 3-1 on aggregate) .
Key Statistics Influencing Prediction:
Metric | Panathinaikos | Rangers |
---|---|---|
Goals (Last 5 Games) | 0 | 8 |
Avg. Possession (UCL) | 45.9% | 57.9% |
Shots on Target (H2H) | 7 (First Leg) | 10 (First Leg) |
Clean Sheets | 0 in last 5 | 3 in last 5 |