26 May 2025

Real Betis Vs Chelsea : UEFA Conference League Match Analysis


Match Context

  • Date & Venue: May 28, 2025 | Stadion Wrocław, Poland (22:00 EAT)
  • Stakes:
  • Betis: Chasing their first European trophy in history.
  • Chelsea: Aiming to become the first club to win all five major UEFA men’s competitions.

Team Form

Real Betis

Recent Form:

  • 1 win in last 5 matches (DLDDLW), including a 4-1 defeat to Atlético Madrid.
  • No clean sheets in 11 games, conceding 18 goals during this stretch.
  • Attack: Scored 2+ goals in 4 of their last 6 Conference League matches

Key Players:

  • Isco: 3.2 key passes/game, 7 assists in the competition.
  • Bakambu: 6 goals in knockout stages, thrives on counterattacks.

Chelsea

Recent Form:

  • 5 wins in last 6 games (WLWWWW), including a 1-0 win over Manchester United.
  • Away Dominance: 86% win rate in Conference League away matches, averaging 2.3 goals/game.

Key Players

  • Nicolas Jackson: 7 goals in last 10 games, 35% shot accuracy.
  • Cole Palmer: 8 goal contributions (5G, 3A) in knockout phases.

Tactical Breakdown

Betis’ Approach

  • Possession-Based Play: 53% average possession, relying on midfield control via Guido Rodríguez and width from Ayoze Pérez.
  • Weaknesses:
  • High defensive line vulnerable to pace (e.g., Jackson, Sterling).
  • Set-Piece Frailty: 14 goals conceded from dead balls this season.

Chelsea’s Strategy

  • High Press & Transitions: Forced 12.7 turnovers/game, leveraging speed of Raheem Sterling (3.1 dribbles/game).
  • Set-Piece Threat: 22 goals from set-pieces (1st in PL), led by Badiashile (4.3 aerial duels won/game).

Injury

  • Betis: Missing Bellerín (hamstring) and Marc Roca (ankle). Backup keeper Adrián (75% pass accuracy) starts.
  • Chelsea: Nkunku (doubtful, knock), but depth in Mykhailo Mudryk (35.2 km/h pace) offsets absences.

Predictions & Odds

Scoreline: Chelsea 3-1 Betis